Showing posts with label protest. Show all posts
Showing posts with label protest. Show all posts

Tweeting levels from London pensions protest



Today, June 30th there will be a demonstration starting from Lincoln's Inn Field London. We will be tracking the intensity of on the ground real world tweets coming from the location all day. You can follow the progress of the protest using the clima.me frame. Click here and navigate around the map to see the levels of high density and normal density tweeting coming from the location.

We are following the #DayOfAction on twitter for information, and we have created a Storify article on the site.





As the protest moves across London we are seeing rather high elevation in tweeting levels.

The limits of social media in understanding protests



Above is the tweeting intensity for geo-tagged tweets coming from the protest site in Athens. Though the number rises and falls with major events on the ground, Athens generally has low levels of tweeting.



Compare this to a protest site in Barcelona Spain. Though the crowds in Athens are as bigger if not bigger than those in Spain the levels of tweeting in Spain are far higher than in Greece.

Levels of tweeting vary wildly between cultures. Greeks are less likely to tweet with mobile smartphones than Spanish. This can be in part accounted for by income. But also do not forget that Greeks could quickly start tweeting in the way Arab have since the Arab Awakening.

A very key thing to remember is that Greeks don't need to tweet. Why, well here are some key observations:

  • Protests in Greece are more organized, they involve more established groups within civil society like trade unions. They have the ability to organize and communicate that pre-date twitter.
  • Protest in Greece are more acknowledged by the local and global media. One interesting fact is that Greek protesters have been flashing green laser light at the press core. The explanation I hear is that the protesters are not happy with the way the events are covered in the Greek press. Outside of Greece the global media has paid huge amounts of attention to Greece. In Spain many of the acompada protesters felt they were being ignored. In Bahrain people felt as though the global media had ignored them. In these cases people who feel neglected by established media will turn to new media to try and get the message out. This neglect of protests is not a case in Greece, where every action of the Greek protests is carried live around the world.
  • Protests in Greece contain a larger band of age demographics. Unlike Spain the Greek protests have drawn people from almost every demographic in the country. And unlike Egypt Greece is a European country with an older population. Therefore a large part of the demonstrations are people are not digital natives.
  • Protests have often been violent. Though there are debates of who started the fighting Greece protests have seen more confrontation. Tweeting is generally more active in large peaceful protests.

Tweeting intensity at Santiago Chile



Santiago Chile was the site of recent student protests. It is always very interesting to see how much tweeting is coming from the developing world. The Internet is the ultimate leap frog technology. Mobile makes this process much faster. Now people all over the world are getting access to services like twitter using mobile phones.

Live reporting from Madrid Acampadasol protest

Photo By Gail Orenstein/The Web 3.0 Lab/Clima/Madrid
Demonstrating the Clima.me tool for measuring twitter density to the communication tent in Madrid. We showed the team how to use high and low density comparisons to guage the scale and activity of protests. These guys have a very international and well educated team of techies right at the heart of the protest. Not surprisingly it was the best place to find competent English speakers.

The communication center is a core part of this protest, but do not think of the Spanish camping protest as a Social Media or Facebook protest. People are very clear that the reacl community building is happening on the ground. Rather social media and computers provide tools for this process. People expressed inspiration from things learned from the Arab Spring, and appreciation for how the Internet has helped organize the protest: but the real event is happening between people or within small groups that gather to discuss issues late in to the Spanish night.



Photo By Gail Orenstein/The Web 3.0 Lab/Clima/Madrid
But just as it is possible to over state the importance of Web 3.0 Internet and mobile technology in the protests in Madrid, it is also just as wrong to understate them. Everything that is happening here is being captured, posted, and shared via a vast army of mobile machines to geo-social networks. The protest in Madrid has to embrace a Open Collaborative media environment carried around by the tens of thousands of ordinary people who pass through the protest every day.

Photo By Gail Orenstein/The Web 3.0 Lab/Clima/Madrid

Social media impacts the in a rich matrix of complex relationships. Events take place that are pre-arranged online. During the event people put away their mobile phones and start talking or acting live. People coming to see what is going on will video tap or photograph the event. Many of these people post this video and photos to social media or blogs. From there people regionally and globally have access to the events. Many people around the world are encourage. Some people even fly down to Madrid to see what is happening. This analysis then comes back in to many of the participants in the continual feedback loop with is at the heart of Web 3.0.
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In keeping with the recent protests in the Arab world we are seeing extremely high tweeting coming from the site of an evolving protest in Puerta del Sol Madrid.

Using Web 3.0 to analyse possible EU wide revolt

All year the Web 3.0 lab has been using web analytics to try and track the use of social media to organize revolts. In Spain the intensity of protests shows up obviously. The site of the Madrid protests is not only a site of high tweeting (95/100) but using the high density analysis, which can see condensed crowds tweeting in the real world, we are seeing very concentrated tweeting in Madrid going lasting almost two weeks now.


In keeping with the recent protests in the Arab world we are seeing extremely high tweeting coming from the site of an evolving protest in Madrid.


A number of left wing activists have predicted that this would spread to other major cities in Europe. See also. That is possible, but right now we are not seeing it using Web analysis of twitter density. But we will continue to monitor the events. We are reading more reports of a Greek event coming soon.

In Athens we are seeing very low levels of tweeting coming from the area around the Parliament, which would indicate that a large peaceful group using social media is not collecting there at this point.

Update June 4th 2011 We are finally beginning to see elevated tweeting form a protest camp in Athens. From what we have heard in Madrid and read on Twitter we suspect a Jasmine peace camp like in Spain has spread to Greece.



Even in Paris where the National Assembly has a high level of tweeting, using the high density tweeting does not show a major concentration of protesters. Again it is critical to compare low to high density readings. If a low and high density reading are close to the same value, that means a very concentrated area of tweeting. If the low density default value is high but the high density is far smaller (like less than a quarter), you are actually seeing a empty part of a busy urban area. So a high score alone does not mean much.



We will continue to look, but it looks to us as if Jasmine has only spread to Spain, where it has clearly taken hold.

This is a very fast moving event and sometimes twitter lags behind the trend. In US protests this winter over union rights in Wisconsin twitter din't really take off until the on-site protest was already well established. Events on the ground are still the ultimate stage for political organization, and twitter will likely only show explosive growth, as is the case in Spain, when a major protest movement in already established.


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